Price convergence, which incorporates both the policy and financial variables that determine demand for PV, underpins GTM Research's bottom-up, state-by-state, segment-by-segment demand forecast of the U.S. PV market. The report seeks to identify the highest opportunity areas for PV development in the U.S.
Between 2000 and 2008, annual installed grid-connected PV capacity in the U.S. grew from 4 MW to 290 MW at an average rate of 71 percent per annum. This rapid growth made the U.S. the third-largest global demand center behind Germany and Spain. Only the U.S., however, has the potential to engender a truly sustainable, long-term market. With high insolation, the greatest electricity demand in the world, and ample available land for PV development, the U.S. presents an attractive longterm growth opportunity for developers, installers, financiers, and other PV service providers. Most global industry players recognize this potential and are seeking to develop and refine a U.S. market strategy.
Developing a downstream U.S. PV market strategy requires a deliberate, highly specified approach to each application, state market and market segment. Historically, deep analysis of the residential or commercial markets in California or New Jersey was sufficient to understand the brunt of the U.S. PV market. However, in recent years the market has developed into a multi-tiered demand center, with many secondary and tertiary market states supporting sufficient demand to warrant individual consideration. Over the next four years, this dynamic will expand as both regulatory targets and additional state demand markets expand.
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Solar Perspectives
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2010/01/07 |
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Solar Perspectives:
SOLON’s Olaf Koester: U.S. – The Land of 500 Markets |
Al Velosa is a Research Director at
Gartner Inc. focused on the photovoltaic solar market |
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Since 2006, the global photovoltaic solar market has undergone almost two generation’s worth of changes, in terms of core markets, policy driven demand, supply issues, pricing and technology dynamics. During this time, Olaf Koester has led SOLON Corporation, the U.S. subsidiary of SOLON SE, based in Tucson, AZ, where it manufactures solar modules and provide intelligent system solutions for solar power plants in North America. Based on SOLON’s customers’ needs – SOLON recently developed the Velocity MW to streamline a PV system’s design and eliminate most of the time, cost and performance risks currently associated with integration. Gartner’s Al Velosa recently discussed the global and U.S. PV markets with Mr. Koester.
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Chinese PV producer Trina Solar announces sales agreement with AE Photonics in Germany
Trina Solar Limited (Changzhou; China), a leading integrated manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) products from the production of ingots, wafers and solar cells to the assembly of PV modules, on February 4th, 2010 announced it has entered into an agreement with Germany AE Photonics GmbH (Dresden) for 40 MW of PV modules to be delivered during 2010. (2010-02-09)
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UK to establish feed-in tariffs for renewable electricity and heating
Households and communities who install generating technologies such as small wind turbines and solar photovoltaic (PV) panels will from April be entitled to claim payments for the low carbon electricity they produce, UK Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Miliband on February 1st, 2010 announced. The feed-in tariff (FITs) levels and also a blueprint for a similar scheme are to be introduced in April 2011 to incentivise low carbon heating technologies. The renewable heat incentive (RHI) will be a world first. The schemes are designed to bring about a significant increase in the amount of locally produced green energy, as a contribution to the wider shift of the energy mix to low carbon. (2010-02-08)
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Market research: Gartner says MEMC's 4Q09 results point to recovery of U.S. solar PPA market
On February 3rd, 2010, MEMC announced its fourth-quarter results. Total revenue for 4Q09 reached $357 million, up 15% quarter over quarter, but down 17% from 4Q08. Revenue for 2009 was $1.2 billion, down 42% from 2008 revenue. Less than 5% of revenue was from polysilicon and the spot market, The US information technology research and advisory company Gartner, Inc (Stamford, Connecticut) reports. (2010-02-08)
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USA: Largest utility-scale solar project in the Northwest to use medium voltage inverter platform by PV Powered
PV Powered, Inc. (Bend, Oregon), a manufacturer of solar inverters, on February 2nd, 2010 announced that its "PowerVault" DC-to-medium voltage turnkey inverter platform had been selected for use in the United States' Northwest's largest utility-scale project to date. The first five megawatt (MW) project is scheduled to begin installation in April with two additional 5 MW projects to follow during 2010. (2010-02-08)
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Solar Industry commends President Obama's FY2011 Budget for DOE Solar Energy Program
Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) President and CEO Rhone Resch released a statement on the Obama Administration’s FY 2011 budget for the Department of Energy’s Solar Energy Program. According to his statement this budget conveys the administration’s commitment to the continued growth of the solar industry as it helps put Americans back to work across the country, especially in areas like America’s manufacturing centers that have been hit hardest by the recession. As a result of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act provisions, solar installations continued to grow by 40 percent and created nearly 20,000 jobs in 2009, highlighting that solar is one of the best policy investments around, Rhone Resch reports in his statement. (2010-02-08)
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Britain launches comprehensive system of feed-in rates for renewables
On February 1st, 2010, Paul Gipe released a statement on the new feed-in tariffs in Britain. In what he calls a truly groundbreaking move for the English-speaking world, Britain's Department of Energy & Climate Change (DECC) had released a full suite of renewable energy tariffs which will go into effect in April 2010. Gipe reports that Britain is to become the first country in the world to offer a comprehensive system of tariffs for renewable heat, including tariffs for solar domestic hot water and ground-source heat pumps. (2010-02-07)
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